THERE are fears the upcoming fire season could bring the "greatest potential loss to life and property", a leaked Department of Sustainability and Environment report has revealed.
While Victorians are still coming to terms with Black Saturday and other fires from last summer, a paper tabled at a DSE and CFA Strategic Preparedness Committee meeting this month makes grave predictions for the season ahead.
"The prospect we are looking at is not just another above-average fire season with above-normal losses or risks to life and property," the report stated.
"The genuine prospect of a season with the greatest potential loss to life and property is now in sight. As climate indicators strengthen, this looks to be an increasing likelihood."
According to the report, the number of fires and the burn area were expected to run ahead of the 30-year average.
"There is across the state an observed lack of rain, increased evaporation, and the strongest predictions so far of the continuation of drier and warmer conditions."
The paper also stated there was a high likelihood of an El Nino event this year, with the fire season to begin early and more activity in the early part of the season.
"Even increases in rainfall to average or above average will result in us arriving at our worst-case climate outlook, and in turn our outlook for fire ignition, spread and difficulty of suppression."
DSE chief fire officer Ewan Waller told the Journal the report was part of an ongoing series of reports on weather predictions for the next fire season.
He said the dry forecast could well be accurate unless above-average rainfall soaked Victoria in coming months.
"The recent rains have been great but they're coming on top of the deep underlying dryness.
"This is quite similar to the messages we've had for the past five years. Since we've been having low rainfall, we've been vulnerable to large fire events for a number of years.
"We are now looking even closer at the El Nino effect, which could add a further drying effect."
He urged people to start preparing their homes for the fire season in a "focused, objective and purposeful way".
"We don't want the community to get stressed about this."
Cardinia Mayor Bill Pearson said the council's fire prevention officers were evaluating what should be done for the next fire season.